November 19, 2012
By Matt Baume
The Supreme Court is just days away from deciding whether to take the Prop 8 case. Depending on how they rule, we could see marriages starting in California, Maine, Washington and Maryland all within the span of a few weeks. Plus with new survey data out this week, it’s now been two and a half years since our opponents last held majority support in any major national poll.
It’s just a few more days of suspense before the Supreme Court decides whether it will take the Prop 8 case. We had previously expected the decision by November 26th. But now it’s been pushed back a few days, and could come on Friday, the 30th, or Monday, the 3rd.
The court will also decide whether to take any of the four cases before it that involve the Defense of Marriage Act. There’s also a fifth case involving domestic partnerships in Arizona.
Depending on how the court rules, we could be very close to marriage resuming in California. But no matter what happens, AFER’s ready to provide you with instant updates and analysis on what happened and how it affects you. Subscribe here on YouTube or at AFER.org so you’ll always be up-to-date.
We’re also close to the start of marriage in Washington state on December 6th. Maryland marriages begin on January first. And we’ll have a firm date for marriages in Maine as soon as the votes are finalized, but they should be starting up there before the end of the year.
With those three states, the percentage of the American population living in states with marriage equality will soon be at its highest point ever — even higher than it was when California briefly allowed marriage in 2008.
And a new study by the Williams Institute at UCLA estimates that marriage spending in those three states will generate 166 million dollars over the next three years. That estimate is for in-state residents only, and doesn’t include spending by tourists.
And of course, public support for marriage continues to climb steadily upward. A new survey from the Washington Post shows 51 percent support marriage equality with 47 percent opposed. The last time any major national survey showed our opponents polling over fifty percent was a Gallup poll in May of 2010.
And even going back fifteen years, the trend of support has only moved in one direction. Between the Prop 8 and DOMA cases, marriage winning on the ballot, and pro-equality legislators winning offices in multiple states, there’s going to be lots of major news on the freedom to marry over the coming weeks and months.
Subscribe here on YouTube and at AFER.org so you can always be up-to-date with what’s going on.