November 2, 2012
Three new polls released in Washington state in the last few days show Referendum 74 heading for a spot in history as the first pro-marriage equality ballot measure to be passed by a vote of the people. A KCTS 9 Washington poll found 57.9 percent of likely voters plan to approve Referendum 74 next Tuesday, while 36.9 plan to oppose it, with 4.8 percent undecided (and a margin of error of 3.6 percent). A KING 5 poll (conducted by SurveyUSA) showed a slightly closer race, but one that was still in the referendum’s favor, with 52 percent of respondents supporting the measure and 43 percent opposing it, with 5 percent undecided (and a margin of error of 4.2 percent). That’s closer from the same poll’s results two weeks ago (which found a 54-41 percent split), but it’s still good news for marriage equality in the state.
In addition, a University of Washington poll (conducted with KCTS-TV) found Referendum 74 leading with a 57.9 to 36.9 percent margin of support amongst likely voters. Importantly, the UW poll also released separate numbers considering voters who might be unwilling to give a so-called “socially undesirable” answer which found 52.3 percent of likely voters supporting the ballot measure and 45.8 percent opposing it. All three polls included relatively small sample sizes (around 500-700 voters), so they should be taken with a grain of salt. Nonetheless, they show Referendum 74 in a good position four days out from the election.
Don’t forget, Courage Campaign is running a drawing for a post-election vacation weekend for anyone who donates to our Referendum 74 GOTV efforts. If you make a contribution to send more Courage Campaign members to get out the vote in Washington State and expand our call-out-the-vote program, you’ll be entered into a drawing for a post-election vacation weekend: free round-trip airfare to Los Angeles, San Francisco, Santa Barbara or San Diego, and two nights with pro-equality Kimpton Hotels. We’ve had an amazing response for volunteers who want to go to Washington to help the initiative succeed, so any contribution you can make at this last stage helps us cover the costs of getting those volunteers to Washington to get out the vote!
In addition, Washington United for Marriage has launched a new social network tool that helps you search through your Facebook friends, find out who has voted and remind your friends to make their voice heard in support of marriage equality. You can also sign up for training to phone bank from home to educate voters about Referendum 74. The bottom line: there are a lot of ways to get involved, and any help will have an impact on the election. If we can go into this weekend strong and get out the vote on Tuesday, we can help win the freedom to marry for Washington’s same-sex couples.