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New PPP poll shows a majority of black Marylanders support marriage equality
May 24, 2012
By Scottie Thomaston
A new poll by Public Policy polling out of Maryland shows an enormous increase in support of marriage equality from African Americans. The numbers shifted from 56% opposition and 39% support to “55% of African Americans planning to vote for the law and only 36% now opposed.” PPP says:
-57% of Maryland voters say they’re likely to vote for the new marriage law this fall, compared to only 37% who are opposed. That 20 point margin of passage represents a 12 point shift from an identical PPP survey in early March, which found it ahead by a closer 52/44 margin.-The movement over the last two months can be explained almost entirely by a major shift in opinion about same-sex marriage among black voters. Previously 56% said they would vote against the new law with only 39% planning to uphold it. Those numbers have now almost completely flipped, with 55% of African Americans planning to vote for the law and only 36% now opposed.
-The big shift in attitudes toward same-sex marriage among black voters in Maryland is reflective of what’s happening nationally right now. A new ABC/Washington Post poll finds 59% of African Americans across the country supportive of same-sex marriage. A PPP poll in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania last weekend found a shift of 19 points in favor of same-sex marriage among black voters.
Marylanders for Marriage Equality talked to The Washington Blade about the poll:
“Things are moving in Maryland,” said Josh Levin, campaign manager for Marylanders for Marriage Equality. “We’re approaching a supermajority who want to uphold the state’s new marriage law. The message of stronger families and basic fairness is resonating, and we’re confident Maryland will be the first state to win a ballot measure on marriage.”This poll comes less than a week after the National Association for the Advancement of Colored Persons, which is headquartered in Baltimore, endorsed marriage rights for same-sex couples during its National Board of Directors’ quarterly meeting in Miami. This announcement came less than two weeks after President Barack Obama publicly backed the issue during an interview with ABC News’ Robin Roberts.
Maryland could be the first state to vote for marriage equality at the ballot box later this year.
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11 Comments Leave a Comment
1.
Mark | May 24, 2012 at 10:22 am
Let's hope they are not the first to vote for marriage equality. Let's hope it is a three-way tie with Maryland, Maine, and Washington all voting for marriage equality.
2.
Owen | May 24, 2012 at 10:24 am
This poll is flawed. They under-sampled self-identified conservatives and over-sampled moderates.
3.
Seth from Maryland | May 24, 2012 at 10:25 am
i agree lol and lets hope Minnesota is the first state to to reject an amendment
4.
Sagesse | May 24, 2012 at 10:30 am
@
5.
Straight Ally #3008 | May 24, 2012 at 10:35 am
I read that PPP predicted the results for Prop 8, Question 1, and the NC amendment by 1 percentage point – can anyone verify this? Those numbers astound me.
6.
Kivo | May 24, 2012 at 11:15 am
How did they undersample conservatives at 27%?
7.
EricKoszyk | May 24, 2012 at 12:12 pm
Actually, in 2006 AZ rejected an amendment that prohibited both gay marriages and civil unions. In 2008 AZ passed an amendment only prohibiting marriage.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arizona_Proposition_…
8.
Owen | May 24, 2012 at 1:14 pm
Because it isn't in line with standard self-identification surveys in Maryland:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/125066/State-States.as…
Conservatives make up about 35 percent of Maryland's electorate, while moderates comprise roughly 38 percent. This poll has conservatives at 27 and moderates at 43.
9.
Straight Dave | May 24, 2012 at 2:05 pm
This poll surveyed "likely voters", which might have a different profile than the state overall. I'm not certain that accounts for the differences you cite, but it would be another factor.
10. Prop 8 Trial Tracker &raq&hellip | May 30, 2012 at 11:01 am
[...] the books after the voters have their say. Last week, a poll from Public Policy Polling showed that 57% of Marylanders say they are likely to vote for marriage equality when it’s up this November. We’re still six months out [...]
11. Prop 8 Trial Tracker &raq&hellip | December 13, 2012 at 8:29 pm
[...] wrote that the Obama campaign launched a massive outreach effort aimed at the LGBT community. I wrote about a new poll from Public Policy Polling that showed a majority of Marylanders would vote to uphold marriage [...]
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